Helping Clients succeed - one case at a time
Current prediction of Colorado State-wide COVID-19 hospitalizations and fatalities.
Over the last few weeks we have upgraded our models to allow predictions for specific events. By analyzing the changes that occurred after the Memorial Day holiday, we have a model for predicting upcoming holiday impacts (4th of July, Labor Day, etc.) This significantly increases the predictive power of the model, bringing our current correlation coefficient to above 0.95.
In addition, with all the concerns over case reporting and increased testing, we updated our 'ground truthing' process to look primarily at reported fatalities, increasing our early pandemic accuracy significantly. For more details check out the current blog post.
This is based on the current announced policies covering Social Distancing and the current levels of testing. It will be updated weekly by the Outbreak Modelling team at GunderFish
As part of our ongoing predictive modeling outreach, we are working with local experts to help people understand the effects of response policies on the impacts of the COVID-19 infections.
If you would like to test out our educational simulator - here is a link to the GunderFish COVID quick start guide